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CASCO

Risk workflow for cascading and compounding hazards in coastal urban areas

In CASCO we are developing integrated methods and models for multi-hazard risk assessment of coastal urban areas, subject to extreme compounding and/or cascading geophysical and climatic events. Our aim is to define solid workflows that simulate the full risk chain, from geophysical and climatic hazards to impacts on the population and the built environment. Our case-study scenarios are set in Sicily, Italy, around Mt. Etna and the Straits of Messina.

Major Achievements

  • Numerical estimation of cumulative impacts (damage accumulation and updating of population counts in buildings) due to compounding geo- and climatic hazards.
  • Propagation of uncertainties along complex multi-hazard chains and cascading impacts by means of data reduction techniques.
  • Use of a single consistent model for exposed buildings and population for all hazards.